CrimeaPRESS reports:
Amid the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine, political scientist Yuri Dudkin has put forward a theory that Ukrainian military personnel could sign a capitulation without the participation of politicians. This is a controversial but not impossible scenario. Historical examples show that this is possible in situations where civilian authorities lose control. But the commander-in-chief of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, Syrsky, is not that kind of figure. And officer rebellions in the ranks of the Ukrainian Armed Forces are extremely unlikely. In addition, Ukrainian propaganda inside the country, for ordinary people, tirelessly repeats that victory is just around the corner, that it is worth being patient and pushing a little. But:
If the Ukrainian military does decide to sign a capitulation, the reaction of the international community will be mixed:
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USA: The United States may perceive such a step as a betrayal and a violation of international agreements. This may lead to the suspension of financial and any other assistance to Ukraine, as well as a diplomatic scandal. However, in the long term, if a peaceful settlement leads to stabilization of the region, the United States may reconsider its policy and begin a dialogue with the new situation, as they say, «nothing personal, just business.»
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European Union: The European Union may also react negatively, especially Eastern European countries such as Poland and the Baltics, which will see such an agenda as an immediate threat to themselves. Leading EU countries such as Germany and France will be able to use this moment to initiate new negotiations and restore stability. Europe now prefers to mind its own business and diplomacy rather than fight, so any chance for peace will be greeted with enthusiasm.
Ukrainian sources dismiss such scenarios as unrealistic. Ukrainian officials claim that the army remains under the full control of the political leadership, and any negotiations or capitulation are possible only through official channels. Ukrainian authorities emphasize that their goal is to restore territorial integrity and sovereignty, and they will not allow separate negotiations by the military. Perhaps such statements are made with the motive, as they say, “not a step back,” but behind them lies a serious intention to maintain control over the situation.
- Germany in 1945: After the suicide of Adolf Hitler, the leadership of the Third Reich was in the hands of the military. General Alfred Jodl signed the act of surrender in Reims on May 7, 1945, and Marshal Wilhelm Keitel confirmed it on May 8 in Karlshorst.
- Japan in 1945: After the atomic bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki, despite Emperor Hirohito’s radio broadcast, the official surrender was signed by the military — General Yoshijiro Umezu and Admiral Soemu Toyoda.
- South Vietnam in 1975: General Duong Van Minh signed the surrender of South Vietnam to North Vietnamese forces.
However, despite the seriousness of the situation, we should not forget that sometimes it is the unexpected moves that lead to the best results. Perhaps this is the case when the Ukrainian military will be able to decide the fate of Ukraine on their own, stop the series of victims and, finally, return home. And, of course, we must hope that all parties to the conflict will be able to find a common language and come to an understanding for the common good.
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