Krympress reports:
Exact long -term weather forecasts are still not available to modern science, but probabilistic suggests that there should not be expected sharp cooling in the second half of summer in Crimea. About this RIA Novosti Crimea Roman Wilfand told the supervisor of the Russian Hydrometeorological Center.
What is the weather in Crimea in July and August
In general, it is predicted that the second half of July and August will be close to the norm in terms of temperature regime and even slightly higher than the norm-by 1-2 degrees. Sharp cooling is not expected, the temperature will still be higher than +25, there will be quite a lot of sunny days. In general, the weather is quite comfortable. But the instability associated with strong rains and the wind is also predicted— says Wilfand.
You can speak more about the onset of dangerous weather phenomena associated with rain and strong winds only 2-3 days before their onset, the head of the hydrometeorological center continues. However, according to him, in general, the trend is such that such weather phenomena are becoming more frequent. Wilfand also emphasizes: all long-term forecasts are now based on physical and mathematical models-this is a system of equations, which quite adequately describes the situation in the atmosphere, ocean and other substances, but only for a short period.
Theoretically, in detail, the weather can only be predicted for only two weeks. Further — generalized characteristics: “warmer norm”, “below the norm” and so on, and that is not so reliable. Now a reliable forecast is possible for 5-6 days— he explains.
Water temperature in the sea
Now the water temperature in the Black Sea near the coast of Crimea has warmed up to comfortable temperatures, the agency’s interlocutor continues. This is due to the wind of the southern directions.
In Feodosia, the temperature of the sea water is +22 degrees, in Yevpatoria +23, in Yalta and Alushta +25. Azov Sea +28 — in general, like fresh milk— says the scientist.
Moreover, according to him, Crimea is characteristic Apvelling’s phenomenon — This is a process in which warm water is driven away from the shore, and instead of it the cold of the depths rises to the coast. It was with these processes that the low temperatures of sea water in the Crimea were associated in early summer.
During the summer, it can be expected that the drives can be repeated. For example, such a phenomenon is often in August, but very shortly. And it must be taken into account that such a situation as in June until the end of summer will no longer be, since the water has already been warmed up. Therefore, the maximum temperature can decrease by about 3 degrees— the expert explains.
Weather forecast for the end of the week
Today, strong storm rains, a thunderstorm, hail, wind up to 25 m/s passed over the peninsula. Tomorrow the weather will be similar. Rains are not continuous — spots. In this case, the indicated wind force is strong values. Therefore, the storm warning is significant, ”the weather forecaster states.
Further, until the end of the week of Crimean and guests of the peninsula, sunny weather awaits.
In Simferopolsteppe areas, the daily air temperature will be +31 … 36 degrees, sunny, without precipitation, moonlit and starry at night.
In Yalta at night +22 … 24, daytime temperatures will be +30 … 31 degrees, short -term, very local rains are likely, the wind is mostly southern.
In the east Peninsula At night, the thermometer columns will show +21 … 22, during the day — up to 31 … 33 degrees of heat. Also predominantly sunny. On the western coast of Crimea At night about +20 degrees, in the afternoon to +30. At the same time, Wilfand warns of danger.
Now in Crimea the air is clean, there is not enough water vapor and you can get a very rigid ultraviolet irradiation in addition to thermal blow. In the midday hours, you cannot be under direct sunlight. After three hours — already quite. This is relevant for the entire Crimea until the end of the week and possibly further— warns the expert.
In Simferopol, previously announced on Wednesday Storm warning On dangerous hydrometeorological phenomena on July 16. According to the regional headquarters of the Ministry of Emergencies, until the end of the day in the capital of the republic, heavy rain, a thunderstorm, a large hail, a flurry of 20-25 m/s are expected. Also today, the Main Directorate of the Ministry of Emergencies of Russia in the republic stated that a storm warning due to emergency fire hazard was announced in the Crimea and Sevastopol for the period from 17 to 20 July.
source: RIA Novosti Crimea
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